Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.377078 0.489171 0.611070 0.751653 0.907659 1.074030 1.263500
2025-08-10 0.219227 0.364827 0.541272 0.761661 1.022009 1.313626 1.659414
2025-08-17 0.119471 0.262539 0.455666 0.713759 1.033388 1.403787 1.854631
2025-08-24 0.055080 0.182025 0.378568 0.660939 1.026936 1.464237 2.008551
2025-08-31 0.024294 0.135981 0.336042 0.642438 1.054340 1.557970 2.195068
2025-09-07 0.009982 0.109687 0.316239 0.649882 1.111173 1.684808 2.418869
2025-09-14 0.001843 0.083517 0.289690 0.643121 1.146167 1.782330 2.605541
2025-09-21 NaN 0.059236 0.258963 0.625496 1.163416 1.855351 2.760650
2025-09-28 NaN 0.054498 0.265606 0.664737 1.257911 2.026110 3.035533
2025-10-05 NaN 0.052813 0.278251 0.713314 1.365343 2.213537 3.331219
2025-10-12 NaN 0.048504 0.283669 0.749677 1.455469 2.378681 3.599427
2025-10-19 NaN 0.050435 0.304306 0.811264 1.581376 2.590287 3.925645
2025-10-26 NaN 0.046723 0.311615 0.853440 1.684095 2.777478 4.228888
2025-11-02 NaN 0.036232 0.298281 0.860237 1.736774 2.900693 4.454070
2025-11-09 NaN 0.019020 0.254716 0.810154 1.704466 2.910606 4.535527
2025-11-16 NaN 0.006945 0.211002 0.753340 1.658410 2.899734 4.588716
2025-11-23 NaN 0.002432 0.188989 0.733585 1.665288 2.957536 4.727243
2025-11-30 NaN 0.000934 0.181543 0.741546 1.713828 3.071119 4.936792
2025-12-07 NaN 0.000038 0.167548 0.734302 1.738019 3.151191 5.103066
2025-12-14 NaN NaN 0.149277 0.715390 1.742682 3.203848 5.233517
2025-12-21 NaN NaN 0.158312 0.757470 1.844262 3.389784 5.536418
2025-12-28 NaN NaN 0.171674 0.809452 1.961754 3.597778 5.868066
2026-01-04 NaN NaN 0.179227 0.848293 2.058364 3.777135 6.162812